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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win36%
Draw33%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 33% / 31%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alcochetense win (30.6%)Double chance1X69.4%1.44
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Juventude de Evora win36%2.78
Draw33%3.03
Alcochetense win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventude de Evora1.02

Home share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Alcochetense0.87

Away share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Juventude de Evora

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Alcochetense

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.87
Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventude de Evora signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcochetense signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventude de Evora win 36%,Draw 33%,Alcochetense win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under