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AUS Australia - South Australia State League 1 · Partita ·

Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa25%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite47%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Eastern UnitedAdelaide Atletico
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
25% / 28% / 47%Esito partitaVittoria ospite47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Eastern United win (25.2%)Doppia ChanceX274.8%1.34
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sopra50%2.00
Sì 52% · No 48%Entrambe le squadre segnano52%1.92
2.69 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Eastern United win25%4.00
Pareggio28%3.57
Adelaide Atletico win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Eastern United0.99

Casa share of expected goals 36.8%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Adelaide Atletico1.70

Trasferta share of expected goals 63.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Eastern United

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Adelaide Atletico

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vinta probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.70
Eastern UnitedAdelaide Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Eastern United signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Adelaide Atletico signalCasa failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Eastern United vinta 25%,Pareggio 28%,Adelaide Atletico vinta 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sopra