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AUS 澳大利亞南澳大利亞州聯賽1 · 比賽 ·

東部聯 vs 阿德萊德競技

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.69 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝25%
28%
客勝47%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝47% selection probability
Projected score1–2東部聯阿德萊德競技
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.550% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
25% / 28% / 47%比賽結果客勝47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 東部聯 win (25.2%)雙重機會X274.8%1.34
大 50% · 小 50%Goals 2.550%2.00
是 52% · 否 48%雙方進球52%1.92
2.69 total expected goals正確比分1–2
9.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
東部聯 win25%4.00
28%3.57
阿德萊德競技 win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

東部聯0.99

主隊 share of expected goals 36.8%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 50% · 50%

阿德萊德競技1.70

客隊 share of expected goals 63.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 52% · 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

東部聯

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿德萊德競技

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
贏 probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
7
0.99
Expected goals
1.70
東部聯阿德萊德競技
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01東部聯 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿德萊德競技 signal主隊 failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

東部聯 vs 阿德萊德競技 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

東部聯 25%, 28%,阿德萊德競技 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · 大2.5 50% · Current selection