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SCO Scozia - Premiership · Partita ·

Dundee vs Aberdeen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite36%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1DundeeAberdeen
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 27% / 36%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doppia Chance1272.9%1.37
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapAberdeen winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dundee win36%2.782.6335.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Aberdeen win36%2.782.5537.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dundee1.30

Casa share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Aberdeen1.05

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Dundee

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Aberdeen

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
36%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.30
Expected goals
1.05
DundeeAberdeen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dundee signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aberdeen signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dundee vs Aberdeen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dundee vinta 36%,Pareggio 27%,Aberdeen vinta 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto