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POL Poland I Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem47%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem29%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Stal MielecStal Rzeszow
Expected goals3.73Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett72% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
47% / 25% / 29%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dupla esély1275.3%1.33
Felett 72% · Alatt 28%Goals 2.5Felett72%1.39
Igen 70% · Nem 30%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen70%1.43
3.73 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
11.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Stal Mielec win47%2.13
Döntetlen25%4.00
Stal Rzeszow win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stal Mielec2.22

Hazai share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.73Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 72% · Alatt 28%

Stal Rzeszow1.51

Vendég share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 70% · Nem 30%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Stal Rzeszow

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Nyert probability excluding draw
29%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.22
Expected goals
1.51
Stal MielecStal Rzeszow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stal Mielec signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Rzeszow signalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stal Mielec nyer 47%,Döntetlen 25%,Stal Rzeszow nyer 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · 2.5 felett 72% · Current selection Felett