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Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw25%
Away win28%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Stal MielecStal Rzeszow
Expected goals3.75Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 28%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.75 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Stal Mielec win47%2.13
Draw25%4.00
Stal Rzeszow win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stal Mielec2.23

Home share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.75Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Stal Rzeszow1.52

Away share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Stal Rzeszow

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.23
Expected goals
1.52
Stal MielecStal Rzeszow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stal Mielec signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Rzeszow signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Stal Mielec vs Stal Rzeszow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stal Mielec win 47%,Draw 25%,Stal Rzeszow win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.75 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over