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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

XV Piracicaba U20 vs Velo Clube U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–02.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw24%
Away win18%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score2–0XV Piracicaba U20Velo Clube U20
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 24% / 18%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Velo Clube U20 win (17.9%)Double chance1X82.1%1.22
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 19% · No 81%Both teams scoreNo81%1.23
2.01 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapXV Piracicaba U20 winDifference+2.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
XV Piracicaba U20 win58%1.721.6055.9%+2.1 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Velo Clube U20 win18%5.564.5019.9%-1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

XV Piracicaba U201.75

Home share of expected goals 87.1%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Velo Clube U200.26

Away share of expected goals 12.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 19% · No 81%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

XV Piracicaba U20

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Velo Clube U20

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.75
Expected goals
0.26
XV Piracicaba U20Velo Clube U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01XV Piracicaba U20 signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Velo Clube U20 signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

XV Piracicaba U20 vs Velo Clube U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

XV Piracicaba U20 win 58%,Draw 24%,Velo Clube U20 win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under