Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 28% / 32%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapVizela winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vizela win40%2.502.2040.4%-0.4 pp
Draw28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
UD Leiria win32%3.132.8031.8%+0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 47.9%
Total expected goals2.80Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 52.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchVizela
LLWDW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchUD Leiria
LDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
32%7
Points from supplied form
11.34
Expected goals
1.46VizelaUD Leiria
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Vizela vs UD Leiria FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Vizela win 40%，Draw 28%，UD Leiria win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.80 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。