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PRT Portugal - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Vizela vs UD Leiria

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.80 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score1–1VizelaUD Leiria
Expected goals2.80Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 28% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
2.80 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapVizela winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vizela win40%2.502.2040.4%-0.4 pp
Nul28%3.573.2027.8%+0.2 pp
UD Leiria win32%3.132.8031.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vizela1.34

Domicile share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.80Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

UD Leiria1.46

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Vizela

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

UD Leiria

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.34
Expected goals
1.46
VizelaUD Leiria
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vizela signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Leiria signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Vizela vs UD Leiria FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vizela victoire 40%,Nul 28%,UD Leiria victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.80 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de