Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
3% / 9% / 87%Match resultAway win87%1.15
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Alagoana (W) win (3.5%)Double chanceX296.5%1.04
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin5.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Alagoana (W) win3%33.3341.002.3%—
Draw9%11.1113.007.3%—
Vasco da Gama (W) win87%1.151.0590.4%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 26.5%
Total expected goals2.68Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 73.5%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchUD Alagoana (W)
WLLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchVasco da Gama (W)
DWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
3%
Win probability excluding draw
87%3
Points from supplied form
110.71
Expected goals
1.97UD Alagoana (W)Vasco da Gama (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 9%.
Match questions
UD Alagoana (W) vs Vasco da Gama (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 87% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UD Alagoana (W) win 3%，Draw 9%，Vasco da Gama (W) win 87%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。