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INT Brazil Serie A2 Women · Fixture ·

Acao (W) vs Doce Mel EC (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win62%
Draw21%
Away win17%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Acao (W)Doce Mel EC (W)
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 21% / 17%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Doce Mel EC (W) win (16.6%)Double chance1X83.4%1.20
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Acao (W) win62%1.611.4463.2%
Draw21%4.764.3321%
Doce Mel EC (W) win17%5.885.7515.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Acao (W)1.83

Home share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Doce Mel EC (W)0.92

Away share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Acao (W)

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Doce Mel EC (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.92
Acao (W)Doce Mel EC (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Acao (W) signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Doce Mel EC (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Acao (W) vs Doce Mel EC (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Acao (W) win 62%,Draw 21%,Doce Mel EC (W) win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over