Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 27% / 32%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rio Negro RR (W) win41%2.442.2539.8%—
Draw27%3.703.3027.1%—
Paysandu (W) win32%3.132.7033.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.3%
Total expected goals2.66Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 44.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchRio Negro RR (W)
LLLDW
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchPaysandu (W)
DWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
32%4
Points from supplied form
71.47
Expected goals
1.19Rio Negro RR (W)Paysandu (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Rio Negro RR (W) vs Paysandu (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Rio Negro RR (W) win 41%，Draw 27%，Paysandu (W) win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under。