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POL Poland III Liga · Final ·

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sleza Wroclaw

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win57%
Draw23%
Away win20%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 57% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zaglebie SosnowiecSleza Wroclaw
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 23% / 20%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sleza Wroclaw win (20%)Double chance1X80%1.25
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zaglebie Sosnowiec win57%1.751.5358.7%
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%
Sleza Wroclaw win20%5.004.7518.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.99

Home share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Sleza Wroclaw1.24

Away share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sleza Wroclaw

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.99
Expected goals
1.24
Zaglebie SosnowiecSleza Wroclaw
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zaglebie Sosnowiec signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sleza Wroclaw signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Sleza Wroclaw FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win 57%,Draw 23%,Sleza Wroclaw win 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over