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CHN China Division 1 · Fixture ·

Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen Juniors

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw29%
Away win33%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Yanbian LongdingShenzhen Juniors
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 29% / 33%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Double chance1271%1.41
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.49 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapYanbian Longding winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yanbian Longding win38%2.632.5036.1%+1.9 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Shenzhen Juniors win33%3.032.6034.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yanbian Longding1.70

Home share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Shenzhen Juniors0.79

Away share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Yanbian Longding

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Shenzhen Juniors

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.70
Expected goals
0.79
Yanbian LongdingShenzhen Juniors
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yanbian Longding signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shenzhen Juniors signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Yanbian Longding vs Shenzhen Juniors FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yanbian Longding win 38%,Draw 29%,Shenzhen Juniors win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under