MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Santos U20 vs Sao Bento U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score5–05.35 expected goals
Away form
Home win77%
Draw14%
Away win9%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 77% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win77% selection probability
Projected score5–0Santos U20Sao Bento U20
Expected goals5.35Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over90% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
77% / 14% / 9%Match resultHome win77%1.30
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Bento U20 win (9.4%)Double chance1X90.6%1.10
Over 90% · Under 10%Goals 2.5Over90%1.11
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
5.35 total expected goalsCorrect score5–0
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapSantos U20 winDifference+4.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santos U20 win77%1.301.2773%+4.0 pp
Draw14%7.146.0015.4%-1.4 pp
Sao Bento U20 win9%11.118.0011.6%-2.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santos U204.91

Home share of expected goals 91.8%

Total expected goals5.35Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 90% · Under 10%

Sao Bento U200.44

Away share of expected goals 8.2%

Projected score5–0BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Santos U20

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sao Bento U20

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
77%
Win probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
7
4.91
Expected goals
0.44
Santos U20Sao Bento U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santos U20 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Bento U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk23% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Santos U20 vs Sao Bento U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 5–0 · 77% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santos U20 win 77%,Draw 14%,Sao Bento U20 win 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.35 · Over 2.5 90% · Current selection Over