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INT Peru Liga 2 · Fixture ·

Sport Huancayo Reserves vs Santos FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.45 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw36%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sport Huancayo ReservesSantos FC
Expected goals1.45Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under82% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 36% / 23%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Santos FC win (22.5%)Double chance1X77.5%1.29
Over 18% · Under 82%Goals 2.5Under82%1.22
Yes 25% · No 75%Both teams scoreNo75%1.33
1.45 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sport Huancayo Reserves win41%2.44
Draw36%2.78
Santos FC win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sport Huancayo Reserves0.95

Home share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals1.45Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 18% · Under 82%

Santos FC0.50

Away share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sport Huancayo Reserves

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Santos FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
9
0.95
Expected goals
0.50
Sport Huancayo ReservesSantos FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sport Huancayo Reserves signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos FC signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

Sport Huancayo Reserves vs Santos FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sport Huancayo Reserves win 41%,Draw 36%,Santos FC win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.45 · Over 2.5 18% · Current selection Under