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INT Women’s Friendly · Fixture ·

Real Madrid (W) vs Sevilla (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win60%
Draw21%
Away win19%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Madrid (W)Sevilla (W)
Expected goals3.29Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 21% / 19%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sevilla (W) win (18.7%)Double chance1X81.3%1.23
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Madrid (W) win60%1.671.4861.1%
Draw21%4.764.3320.9%
Sevilla (W) win19%5.265.0018.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid (W)2.11

Home share of expected goals 64.1%

Total expected goals3.29Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Sevilla (W)1.18

Away share of expected goals 35.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Madrid (W)

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sevilla (W)

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
12
Points from supplied form
4
2.11
Expected goals
1.18
Real Madrid (W)Sevilla (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sevilla (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Real Madrid (W) vs Sevilla (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid (W) win 60%,Draw 21%,Sevilla (W) win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over