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MEX Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Fixture ·

Queretaro (W) vs Santos Laguna (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw27%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Queretaro (W)Santos Laguna (W)
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 27% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Queretaro (W) win (26.6%)Double chanceX273.4%1.36
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapQueretaro (W) winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Queretaro (W) win27%3.703.4026.2%+0.8 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Santos Laguna (W) win46%2.171.9046.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Queretaro (W)1.11

Home share of expected goals 47%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

Santos Laguna (W)1.25

Away share of expected goals 53%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Queretaro (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Santos Laguna (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.11
Expected goals
1.25
Queretaro (W)Santos Laguna (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Queretaro (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Santos Laguna (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Queretaro (W) vs Santos Laguna (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Queretaro (W) win 27%,Draw 27%,Santos Laguna (W) win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under