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POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

Victoria Sulejowek vs Polonia Warsaw II

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw22%
Away win48%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score2–2Victoria SulejowekPolonia Warsaw II
Expected goals3.53Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 22% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Double chance1278.1%1.28
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Victoria Sulejowek win30%3.333.1028.7%
Draw22%4.554.1021.7%
Polonia Warsaw II win48%2.081.8049.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Victoria Sulejowek1.65

Home share of expected goals 46.7%

Total expected goals3.53Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Polonia Warsaw II1.88

Away share of expected goals 53.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Victoria Sulejowek

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Polonia Warsaw II

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.65
Expected goals
1.88
Victoria SulejowekPolonia Warsaw II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Victoria Sulejowek signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Warsaw II signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Victoria Sulejowek vs Polonia Warsaw II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Victoria Sulejowek win 30%,Draw 22%,Polonia Warsaw II win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over