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DEU Germany DFB Pokal · Final ·

Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–4Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win7%
Draw14%
Away win79%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 79% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win79% selection probability
Projected score1–2Phonix LubeckPaderborn
Expected goals3.16Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
7% / 14% / 79%Match resultAway win79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Phonix Lubeck win (7.3%)Double chanceX292.7%1.08
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin5.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Phonix Lubeck win7%14.2915.006.3%
Draw14%7.147.5012.6%
Paderborn win79%1.271.1781%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Phonix Lubeck0.85

Home share of expected goals 26.9%

Total expected goals3.16Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Paderborn2.31

Away share of expected goals 73.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Phonix Lubeck

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Paderborn

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Win probability excluding draw
79%
1
Points from supplied form
7
0.85
Expected goals
2.31
Phonix LubeckPaderborn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Phonix Lubeck signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paderborn signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Phonix Lubeck win 7%,Draw 14%,Paderborn win 79%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over