MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
USA USA NWSL Women · Fixture ·

Orlando Pride (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw25%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Orlando Pride (W)Racing Louisville FC (W)
Expected goals3.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Racing Louisville FC (W) win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapOrlando Pride (W) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Orlando Pride (W) win53%1.891.6753.4%-0.4 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp
Racing Louisville FC (W) win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Orlando Pride (W)1.74

Home share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals3.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Racing Louisville FC (W)1.33

Away share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Orlando Pride (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Racing Louisville FC (W)

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.74
Expected goals
1.33
Orlando Pride (W)Racing Louisville FC (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Orlando Pride (W) signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Racing Louisville FC (W) signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Orlando Pride (W) vs Racing Louisville FC (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Orlando Pride (W) win 53%,Draw 25%,Racing Louisville FC (W) win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over