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Numancia vs Real Madrid C

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win48%
Draw27%
Away win25%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 48% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1NumanciaReal Madrid C
Expected goals3.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 25%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Madrid C win (24.6%)Double chance1X75.4%1.33
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Numancia win48%2.081.8548.5%
Draw27%3.703.2527.6%
Real Madrid C win25%4.003.7523.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Numancia1.86

Home share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals3.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Real Madrid C1.36

Away share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Numancia

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Real Madrid C

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.86
Expected goals
1.36
NumanciaReal Madrid C
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Numancia signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Madrid C signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Numancia vs Real Madrid C FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Numancia win 48%,Draw 27%,Real Madrid C win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over