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EUR 歐洲友誼賽 · Final ·

紐文西亞 vs 皇家馬德裏C

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score0–0預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝48%
27%
客勝25%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 48% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝48% selection probability
Projected score2–1紐文西亞皇家馬德裏C
Expected goals3.22初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
48% / 27% / 25%比賽結果主勝48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 皇家馬德裏C win (24.6%)雙重機會1X75.4%1.33
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 65% · 否 35%雙方進球65%1.54
3.22 total expected goals正確比分2–1
7.8 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
紐文西亞 win48%2.081.8548.5%
27%3.703.2527.6%
皇家馬德裏C win25%4.003.7523.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

紐文西亞1.86

主隊 share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals3.22初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

皇家馬德裏C1.36

客隊 share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · 35%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

紐文西亞

1.00pts / match
3Wins1Drawn0Losses2積分3

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

皇家馬德裏C

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
贏 probability excluding draw
25%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.86
Expected goals
1.36
紐文西亞皇家馬德裏C
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01紐文西亞 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02皇家馬德裏C signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

紐文西亞 vs 皇家馬德裏C FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

紐文西亞 48%, 27%,皇家馬德裏C 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection