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FRA France Ligue 2 · Round 1 ·

Nantes vs Red Star FC 93

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.56 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw27%
Away win21%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–1NantesRed Star FC 93
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 27% / 21%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Red Star FC 93 win (20.6%)Double chance1X79.4%1.26
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nantes win53%1.891.7054.2%
Draw27%3.703.5026.3%
Red Star FC 93 win21%4.764.7519.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nantes1.56

Home share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Red Star FC 931.00

Away share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nantes

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Red Star FC 93

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
1.00
NantesRed Star FC 93
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nantes signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Red Star FC 93 signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Nantes vs Red Star FC 93 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nantes win 53%,Draw 27%,Red Star FC 93 win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under