Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 27%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Motor Lublin win (26.8%)Double chance1X73.2%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Pogon Szczecin win46%2.17
Draw27%3.70
Motor Lublin win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61.2%
Total expected goals2.94Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 38.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPogon Szczecin
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMotor Lublin
LDWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
27%6
Points from supplied form
71.80
Expected goals
1.14Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Pogon Szczecin win 46%，Draw 27%，Motor Lublin win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。