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POL Poland Ekstraklasa · Round 1 ·

Πόγκον Ζέσιν vs Μότορ Λούμπλιν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου46%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου27%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Πόγκον ΖέσινΜότορ Λούμπλιν
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
46% / 27% / 27%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μότορ Λούμπλιν win (26.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73.2%1.37
Άνω 56% · Κάτω 44%Goals 2.5Άνω56%1.79
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Πόγκον Ζέσιν win46%2.17
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Μότορ Λούμπλιν win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Πόγκον Ζέσιν1.80

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 56% · Κάτω 44%

Μότορ Λούμπλιν1.14

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Πόγκον Ζέσιν

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μότορ Λούμπλιν

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.80
Expected goals
1.14
Πόγκον ΖέσινΜότορ Λούμπλιν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Πόγκον Ζέσιν signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μότορ Λούμπλιν signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Πόγκον Ζέσιν vs Μότορ Λούμπλιν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Πόγκον Ζέσιν νίκη 46%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Μότορ Λούμπλιν νίκη 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Άνω 2.5 56% · Current selection Άνω