MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sertaozinho FC U20 vs Mirassol U20

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win38%
Draw28%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sertaozinho FC U20Mirassol U20
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under78% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 28% / 34%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sertaozinho FC U20 win38%2.632.3538%0.0 pp
Draw28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
Mirassol U20 win34%2.942.5535%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sertaozinho FC U200.92

Home share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%

Mirassol U200.69

Away share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC U20

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mirassol U20

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
0.69
Sertaozinho FC U20Mirassol U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sertaozinho FC U20 signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol U20 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sertaozinho FC U20 vs Mirassol U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sertaozinho FC U20 win 38%,Draw 28%,Mirassol U20 win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under