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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Sertaozinho FC - U20 vs Mirassol - U20

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sertaozinho FC - U20Mirassol - U20
Expected goals1.61Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de78% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 28% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Plus de 22% · Moins de 78%Goals 2.5Moins de78%1.28
Oui 30% · Non 70%Les deux équipes marquentNon70%1.43
1.61 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sertaozinho FC - U20 win38%2.632.3538%0.0 pp
Nul28%3.573.3027%+1.0 pp
Mirassol - U20 win34%2.942.5535%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sertaozinho FC - U200.92

Domicile share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals1.61Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 22% · Moins de 78%

Mirassol - U200.69

Extérieur share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 30% · Non 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sertaozinho FC - U20

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Mirassol - U20

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
0.69
Sertaozinho FC - U20Mirassol - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sertaozinho FC - U20 signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol - U20 signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sertaozinho FC - U20 vs Mirassol - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sertaozinho FC - U20 victoire 38%,Nul 28%,Mirassol - U20 victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.61 · Plus de 2.5 22% · Current selection Moins de