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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

LBK vs KPV Akatemia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–36.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw20%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score3–3LBKKPV Akatemia
Expected goals6.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over95% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes91% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 20% / 35%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Double chance1279.7%1.25
Over 95% · Under 5%Goals 2.5Over95%1.05
Yes 91% · No 9%Both teams scoreYes91%1.10
6.19 total expected goalsCorrect score3–3
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LBK win45%2.222.0044.8%+0.2 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.7%-0.7 pp
KPV Akatemia win35%2.862.6034.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LBK3.18

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals6.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 95% · Under 5%

KPV Akatemia3.01

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score3–3BTTS splitYes 91% · No 9%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

LBK

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

KPV Akatemia

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.18
Expected goals
3.01
LBKKPV Akatemia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LBK signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KPV Akatemia signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

LBK vs KPV Akatemia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–3 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LBK win 45%,Draw 20%,KPV Akatemia win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 6.19 · Over 2.5 95% · Current selection Over