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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Ponte Preta U20 vs Jabaquara U20

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–4Forecast 1–0
Away form
Home win52%
Draw27%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win52% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ponte Preta U20Jabaquara U20
Expected goals1.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under89% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 27% / 21%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jabaquara U20 win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Over 11% · Under 89%Goals 2.5Under89%1.12
Yes 18% · No 82%Both teams scoreNo82%1.22
1.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ponte Preta U20 win52%1.921.7052.6%-0.6 pp
Draw27%3.703.5025.6%+1.4 pp
Jabaquara U20 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ponte Preta U200.79

Home share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals1.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 11% · Under 89%

Jabaquara U200.38

Away share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 18% · No 82%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ponte Preta U20

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Jabaquara U20

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.79
Expected goals
0.38
Ponte Preta U20Jabaquara U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ponte Preta U20 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jabaquara U20 signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ponte Preta U20 vs Jabaquara U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ponte Preta U20 win 52%,Draw 27%,Jabaquara U20 win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.17 · Over 2.5 11% · Current selection Under