Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 17% / 10%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Independiente Petrolero win (10.4%)Double chance1X89.6%1.12
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
The Strongest win73%1.371.2573.2%-0.2 pp
Draw17%5.885.5016.6%+0.4 pp
Independiente Petrolero win10%10.009.0010.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.8%
Total expected goals3.08Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 29.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchThe Strongest
WWDDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchIndependiente Petrolero
DWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
73%
Win probability excluding draw
10%11
Points from supplied form
42.18
Expected goals
0.90The StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
The Strongest win 73%，Draw 17%，Independiente Petrolero win 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。