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SWE Sweden Superettan · Fixture ·

Ljungskile SK vs IK Oddevold

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ljungskile SKIK Oddevold
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.2%)Double chance1272.8%1.37
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapLjungskile SK winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ljungskile SK win39%2.562.3837.9%+1.1 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.4%-0.4 pp
IK Oddevold win34%2.942.6034.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ljungskile SK1.63

Home share of expected goals 55.8%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

IK Oddevold1.29

Away share of expected goals 44.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ljungskile SK

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

IK Oddevold

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
11
Points from supplied form
4
1.63
Expected goals
1.29
Ljungskile SKIK Oddevold
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ljungskile SK signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Oddevold signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ljungskile SK vs IK Oddevold FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ljungskile SK win 39%,Draw 27%,IK Oddevold win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over