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SWE Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Fixture ·

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win43%
Draw26%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1IFK TrelleborgVäxjö Norra
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapIFK Trelleborg winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Trelleborg win43%2.332.0543.6%-0.6 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Växjö Norra win31%3.232.9030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Trelleborg1.29

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Växjö Norra1.31

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

IFK Trelleborg

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Växjö Norra

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.29
Expected goals
1.31
IFK TrelleborgVäxjö Norra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Trelleborg signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Växjö Norra signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Trelleborg win 43%,Draw 26%,Växjö Norra win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under