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SWE Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland · Fixture ·

Sölvesborgs GoIF vs IFK Karlshamn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw21%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score3–1Sölvesborgs GoIFIFK Karlshamn
Expected goals4.04Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 21% / 19%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Karlshamn win (18.7%)Double chance1X81.3%1.23
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
4.04 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapSölvesborgs GoIF winDifference+2.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sölvesborgs GoIF win61%1.641.5358.7%+2.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
IFK Karlshamn win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sölvesborgs GoIF3.10

Home share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals4.04Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

IFK Karlshamn0.94

Away share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sölvesborgs GoIF

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

IFK Karlshamn

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
1
3.10
Expected goals
0.94
Sölvesborgs GoIFIFK Karlshamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sölvesborgs GoIF signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Karlshamn signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sölvesborgs GoIF vs IFK Karlshamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sölvesborgs GoIF win 61%,Draw 21%,IFK Karlshamn win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over