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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Final ·

Union Santa Fe (W) vs Huracan (W)

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win36%
Draw33%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union Santa Fe (W)Huracan (W)
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 33% / 31%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Huracan (W) win (31.3%)Double chance1X68.7%1.46
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 39% · No 61%Both teams scoreNo61%1.64
1.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Union Santa Fe (W) win36%2.78
Draw33%3.03
Huracan (W) win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Santa Fe (W)1.03

Home share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

Huracan (W)0.90

Away share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Union Santa Fe (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Huracan (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.03
Expected goals
0.90
Union Santa Fe (W)Huracan (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Santa Fe (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Huracan (W) signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Union Santa Fe (W) vs Huracan (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Santa Fe (W) win 36%,Draw 33%,Huracan (W) win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under