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ARG Argentina Championship Women · Final ·

San Luis FC (W) vs Belgrano (W)

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win21%
Draw33%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1San Luis FC (W)Belgrano (W)
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
21% / 33% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Luis FC (W) win (20.9%)Double chanceX279.1%1.26
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
San Luis FC (W) win21%4.76
Draw33%3.03
Belgrano (W) win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Luis FC (W)0.55

Home share of expected goals 30.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%

Belgrano (W)1.23

Away share of expected goals 69.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

San Luis FC (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Belgrano (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.55
Expected goals
1.23
San Luis FC (W)Belgrano (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Luis FC (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Belgrano (W) signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

San Luis FC (W) vs Belgrano (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Luis FC (W) win 21%,Draw 33%,Belgrano (W) win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under