Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 27%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.2%)Double chance1274.8%1.34
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV (W) win47%2.131.9047%—
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%—
HB Køge (W) win27%3.703.2527.5%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 58%
Total expected goals3.14Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 42%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchPSV (W)
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchHB Køge (W)
WWWW
Played4Wins4Drawn0Losses0Points12
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
27%12
Points from supplied form
121.82
Expected goals
1.32PSV (W)HB Køge (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
PSV (W) vs HB Køge (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
PSV (W) win 47%，Draw 25%，HB Køge (W) win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.14 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。