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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

HauPa vs KaPa Kajaani

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.76 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw22%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1HauPaKaPa Kajaani
Expected goals2.76Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 22% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.8%)Double chance1278.2%1.28
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.76 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapHauPa winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
HauPa win34%2.942.7033.4%+0.6 pp
Draw22%4.554.2021.5%+0.5 pp
KaPa Kajaani win45%2.222.0045.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HauPa1.36

Home share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.76Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

KaPa Kajaani1.40

Away share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

HauPa

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

KaPa Kajaani

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
1.40
HauPaKaPa Kajaani
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HauPa signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KaPa Kajaani signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

HauPa vs KaPa Kajaani FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HauPa win 34%,Draw 22%,KaPa Kajaani win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over