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SWE Sweden Superettan · Fixture ·

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw22%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 22% / 15%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GIF Sundsvall win (14.6%)Double chance1X85.4%1.17
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ostersunds FK win63%1.591.4262.8%+0.2 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp
GIF Sundsvall win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ostersunds FK2.02

Home share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

GIF Sundsvall0.72

Away share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ostersunds FK

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

GIF Sundsvall

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.02
Expected goals
0.72
Ostersunds FKGIF Sundsvall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ostersunds FK signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GIF Sundsvall signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ostersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ostersunds FK win 63%,Draw 22%,GIF Sundsvall win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over