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INT England National League Cup · Final ·

Gateshead vs Nottm Forest U21

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win46%
Draw24%
Away win31%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 46% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1GatesheadNottm Forest U21
Expected goals3.06Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 24% / 31%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Double chance1276.3%1.31
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.06 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Gateshead win46%2.17
Draw24%4.17
Nottm Forest U21 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gateshead1.70

Home share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.06Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Nottm Forest U211.36

Away share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gateshead

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nottm Forest U21

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.70
Expected goals
1.36
GatesheadNottm Forest U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gateshead signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nottm Forest U21 signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Gateshead vs Nottm Forest U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gateshead win 46%,Draw 24%,Nottm Forest U21 win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over