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NOR Norway Division 3 Group 1 · Fixture ·

Ullern vs Gamle Oslo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–34.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw20%
Away win54%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score2–3UllernGamle Oslo
Expected goals4.68Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over85% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes77% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 20% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.7%)Double chance1280.3%1.25
Over 85% · Under 15%Goals 2.5Over85%1.18
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.68 total expected goalsCorrect score2–3
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapUllern winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ullern win26%3.853.3027.2%-1.2 pp
Draw20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Gamle Oslo win54%1.851.7052.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ullern1.63

Home share of expected goals 34.8%

Total expected goals4.68Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 85% · Under 15%

Gamle Oslo3.05

Away share of expected goals 65.2%

Projected score2–3BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ullern

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gamle Oslo

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.63
Expected goals
3.05
UllernGamle Oslo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ullern signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gamle Oslo signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ullern vs Gamle Oslo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–3 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ullern win 26%,Draw 20%,Gamle Oslo win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.68 · Over 2.5 85% · Current selection Over