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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Florgrade FC vs Guarda

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win49%
Draw28%
Away win23%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 49% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Florgrade FCGuarda
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 28% / 23%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guarda win (22.9%)Double chance1X77.1%1.30
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Florgrade FC win49%2.041.8049.7%
Draw28%3.573.2028%
Guarda win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Florgrade FC1.44

Home share of expected goals 60.3%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%

Guarda0.95

Away share of expected goals 39.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Florgrade FC

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Guarda

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.44
Expected goals
0.95
Florgrade FCGuarda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Florgrade FC signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guarda signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Florgrade FC vs Guarda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Florgrade FC win 49%,Draw 28%,Guarda win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under