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SRB Serbia Prva Liga · Fixture ·

FK Metalac GM vs Spartak Subotica

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw28%
Away win27%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Metalac GMSpartak Subotica
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 28% / 27%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Subotica win (26.8%)Double chance1X73.2%1.37
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FK Metalac GM win45%2.22
Draw28%3.57
Spartak Subotica win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Metalac GM1.30

Home share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Spartak Subotica0.94

Away share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Metalac GM

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

Spartak Subotica

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.30
Expected goals
0.94
FK Metalac GMSpartak Subotica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Metalac GM signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Subotica signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Metalac GM vs Spartak Subotica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Metalac GM win 45%,Draw 28%,Spartak Subotica win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under