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SRB Serbia Prva Liga · Meci ·

FK Metalac GM vs Spartak Subotica

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți27%
Baseline forecastVictorie gazdeTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Metalac GMSpartak Subotica
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub61% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 28% / 27%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spartak Subotica win (26.8%)Șansă dublă1X73.2%1.37
Peste 39% · Sub 61%Goals 2.5Sub61%1.64
Da 44% · Nu 56%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FK Metalac GM win45%2.22
Egal28%3.57
Spartak Subotica win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Metalac GM1.30

Gazde share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 39% · Sub 61%

Spartak Subotica0.94

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 44% · Nu 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Metalac GM

3.00pts / match
Jucate1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Puncte3

SignalGazde unbeaten 1/1

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Spartak Subotica

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puncte3

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.30
Expected goals
0.94
FK Metalac GMSpartak Subotica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Metalac GM signalGazde unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spartak Subotica signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FK Metalac GM vs Spartak Subotica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Metalac GM câștig 45%,Egal 28%,Spartak Subotica câștig 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Peste 2.5 39% · Current selection Sub