MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
ENG England Northern Premier League · Fixture ·

Warrington Rylands vs FC United of Manchester

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw30%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Warrington RylandsFC United of Manchester
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 30% / 27%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC United of Manchester win (27.2%)Double chance1X72.8%1.37
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.23 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Warrington Rylands win42%2.38
Draw30%3.33
FC United of Manchester win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Warrington Rylands1.34

Home share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

FC United of Manchester0.89

Away share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Warrington Rylands

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC United of Manchester

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
0.89
Warrington RylandsFC United of Manchester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Warrington Rylands signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC United of Manchester signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Warrington Rylands vs FC United of Manchester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Warrington Rylands win 42%,Draw 30%,FC United of Manchester win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under