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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win42%
Draw29%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1RebordosaFC Tirsense
Expected goals1.69Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 29% / 29%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Tirsense win (28.5%)Double chance1X71.5%1.40
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
1.69 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapRebordosa winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rebordosa win42%2.382.1042.5%-0.5 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
FC Tirsense win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rebordosa0.97

Home share of expected goals 57.4%

Total expected goals1.69Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

FC Tirsense0.72

Away share of expected goals 42.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Rebordosa

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Tirsense

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.97
Expected goals
0.72
RebordosaFC Tirsense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rebordosa signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tirsense signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rebordosa vs FC Tirsense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rebordosa win 42%,Draw 29%,FC Tirsense win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.69 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under