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EST Estonia Cup · Fixture ·

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Away form
Home win62%
Draw20%
Away win17%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Levadia TallinnPaide Linnameeskond
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 20% / 17%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Paide Linnameeskond win (17.3%)Double chance1X82.7%1.21
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.95 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Levadia Tallinn win62%1.611.4263.5%
Draw20%5.004.5020.1%
Paide Linnameeskond win17%5.885.5016.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Levadia Tallinn1.93

Home share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Paide Linnameeskond1.02

Away share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Paide Linnameeskond

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.93
Expected goals
1.02
FC Levadia TallinnPaide Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Levadia Tallinn signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paide Linnameeskond signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Levadia Tallinn win 62%,Draw 20%,Paide Linnameeskond win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over