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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Final ·

FC Kiisto vs KPV Akatemia

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–3Forecast 5–1
Away form
Home win80%
Draw12%
Away win8%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 80% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win80% selection probability
Projected score5–1FC KiistoKPV Akatemia
Expected goals5.88Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over93% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
80% / 12% / 8%Match resultHome win80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KPV Akatemia win (7.9%)Double chance1X92.1%1.09
Over 93% · Under 7%Goals 2.5Over93%1.08
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
5.88 total expected goalsCorrect score5–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapFC Kiisto winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kiisto win80%1.251.1779.2%+0.8 pp
Draw12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
KPV Akatemia win8%12.5011.008.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kiisto4.69

Home share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals5.88Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 93% · Under 7%

KPV Akatemia1.19

Away share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Kiisto

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

KPV Akatemia

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
80%
Win probability excluding draw
8%
7
Points from supplied form
3
4.69
Expected goals
1.19
FC KiistoKPV Akatemia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kiisto signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KPV Akatemia signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FC Kiisto vs KPV Akatemia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 5–1 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kiisto win 80%,Draw 12%,KPV Akatemia win 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.88 · Over 2.5 93% · Current selection Over