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FIN Finland Kolmonen · Fixture ·

NIK vs SIF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw21%
Away win52%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win52% selection probability
Projected score2–2NIKSIF
Expected goals3.53Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 21% / 52%Match resultAway win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.9%)Double chance1279.1%1.26
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 69% · No 31%Both teams scoreYes69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapSIF winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NIK win27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
SIF win52%1.921.7052.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NIK1.61

Home share of expected goals 45.6%

Total expected goals3.53Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

SIF1.92

Away share of expected goals 54.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 69% · No 31%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NIK

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

SIF

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
52%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.61
Expected goals
1.92
NIKSIF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NIK signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SIF signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

NIK vs SIF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NIK win 27%,Draw 21%,SIF win 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over