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AUT Austria Landesliga · Fixture ·

Red Star Penzing vs FC 1980 Wien

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw24%
Away win37%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Red Star PenzingFC 1980 Wien
Expected goals3.27Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 24% / 37%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Double chance1276.2%1.31
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapRed Star Penzing winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Red Star Penzing win40%2.502.3038.9%+1.1 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
FC 1980 Wien win37%2.702.4037.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Red Star Penzing1.86

Home share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

FC 1980 Wien1.41

Away share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Red Star Penzing

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC 1980 Wien

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
12
Points from supplied form
1
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
Red Star PenzingFC 1980 Wien
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Red Star Penzing signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC 1980 Wien signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Red Star Penzing vs FC 1980 Wien FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Red Star Penzing win 40%,Draw 24%,FC 1980 Wien win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over